Annals of Neo-Soviet Duplicity
Filed under: Russia
Two very interesting events occurred recently, events which are even more interesting when viewed in juxtaposition.
First, America proposed installing a ballistic missile defense system in Eastern Europe. In response, Russia opposed the installation and proposed locating the system in Azerbaijan -- a region heavily within the Russian sphere of influence. This implies that Russia is interested in helping the U.S. and NATO allies assure their strategic security against their enemies and that it is suggesting it can be trusted over the long term not to undermine such a base.
Second, as Vladimir Socor of the Jamestown Foundation's Eurasia Daily Monitor writes:
Russia abstained in the UN Security Council's September 20 vote to prolong the mandate of the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF) in Afghanistan, a NATO-led operation. This is the first time since 2001 that Russia withheld its approval from an allied operation (U.S.-led Enduring Freedom and NATO's ISAF) in Afghanistan. Concurrently, Moscow indicated again that it tolerates the U.S.-led air base in Kyrgyzstan -- that supports operations in Afghanistan -- conditionally and temporarily. Moscow's abstention in the Security Council has no significant consequences on the practical level. Symbolically, however, it hits at what the United States and NATO define as a core interest and top operational priority. Politically, it signifies yet another warning that Russia is prepared to challenge U.S. and NATO interests and hinder their policies almost anywhere in Eurasia to the maximum feasible extent.
Isn't that interesting? It hardly seems that Russia's actions in the Security Council verify its ability to stand behind its Azerbaijan proposal. Given that, the U.S. and NATO would have be be raving lunatics to give serious consideration to Russia's proposal and, thankfully, it seems they have no such intentions. In actuality, we ought to be quite insulted that the malignant little troll who presides over the Kremlin thought we might be stupid enough to fall for a gambit like this.