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Goings-on in Iowa

Filed under: US Elections

Democratic doings in Iowa last night.

The Iowa Caucus failed to correctly predict the eventual candidates in three of the last seven presidential elections: 1992 (it said Bush-Harkin, actually Bush-Clinton), 1988 (it said Dole-Gephardt, actually Bush-Dukakis) and 1980 (it said Bush-Carter, actually Reagan-Carter). That's a failure rate of nearly 43%.

No Republican candidate has received a majority of the Caucus vote during the past 25 years, and this tradition continued in 2008. Last night, 66% of Republican Caucus-goers voted against the winner, Mike Huckabee. On the Democrat side, three candidates have won a majority of the Caucus vote during that period (Gore, Harkin and Carter).

Only twice, however, in the past 25 years has a Democrat gone on to win the White House (never once in the past quarter century has a Democrat been elected with a majority of the popular vote, whilst Republicans have achieved that every single time they've won, except Dubya in 2000), and none of the three Democrat majority-getters from Iowa managed to actually take the oath of office. That may be good news for Barack Obama, because 62% of Democrat Caucus-goers voted against him last night when he won their contest. But the only Democrat elected president in the past 25 years was the governor of a state -- as were all the Republicans who were elected president other than the one who was vice president. Obama is neither. An idiotic op-ed in the Washington Post stated: "People who complain that Barack Obama lacks experience must be unaware of his legislative achievements." Too right they are, because the office of POTUS is an EXECUTIVE position, not a legislative one. Every single POTUS elected in the past 25 years has had elected executive experience before taking office. Obama lacks it. Huckabee has it -- so maybe choosing him isn't as crazy as some people might like to suggest.

Hillary Clinton. Third place. Ouch. Then again, her hubby came in fourth in 1992 (behind Paul Tsogas!). So maybe it's not the end of the world. Quite. On the other hand, she has no elected executive experience either.

Also bad news for labor unions. Double ouch.

Obama's win is rather inconvenient for all those who accuse America of being a racist nation intolerant of diverse viewpoints. Iowa is lily-white, Obama handily whipped his lily-white opponents. Triple ouch.

Speaking of the America-haters, in a virtually insane piece of gibberish the New York Times editorial board said that Iowa shouldn't have so much importance in American elections and the way they pick the candidates isn't very democratic. Yeah, yeah -- only every haughty, elitist, ideologically- motivated word they wrote is totally wrong: (1) It doesn't have that much influence, as seen in the above-mentioned failure rate. (2) The board (or is that bored) then went on to put the Iowa results on the front page of their paper, giving them even more importance. Is that insane or what? (3) Is telling a state how it can/should pick the president really in the spirit of democracy? Is trying to homogenize an electoral process? Is the Times actually worried that the process is too democratic, and allow candidates they don't like to rise to power? Do the so-called "Americans" who edit the Times believe at all in the principle of federalism and freedom of choice? (4) See why these dead-tree psychopaths going extinct, dear reader?

But the most pathetic thing of all was Democrat moonbat-in-chief Howard Dean commenting on CNN. He said Huckabee's win proves the Republicans are in disarray since he came out of nowhere and is only the governor of a small unimportant state. Then Wolf Blitzer reminded him of Bill Clinton. Dean turned beet red and muttered like an imbecile.

Nuff said.

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Comments


Aris Katsaris says:

"Too right they are, because the offices of POTUS is an EXECUTIVE position, not a legislative one."

Wait a sec, weren't you supporting McCain, just a few posts ago? A man who also has only legislative (not executive) experience?

Was that a different Kim, the one who supported McCain?

"Every single POTUS elected in the past 25 years has had elected executive experience before taking office."

I wonder if that's why so many of them in the past 25 years disrespected the laws of the Congress -- e.g. Reagan violating them (Iran-Contra), Clinton lying under oath, Dubya simply making them void with non-constitutional "signing statements".

Time for a change.


La Russophobe says:

ARIS:

This post is about ELECTABILITY, you moron. There is not one single word of support for any candidate in it, and I do not support any of those named. My criteria are limited to what the candidate would do on Russia, and as such have nothing to do with the general criteria applied by the American people when deciding who is electable. Can you read or think AT ALL?

I'm happy to admit that McCain's lack of executive experience makes him difficult to elect, and there are plenty of other reasons he will have a tough row to hoe. My only point has been that of all the candidates he has the best policy on Russia.

If you can't fairly read the things I've written (if, indeed, you are capable of reading) then you really should refrain from commenting.

To repeat: This post is not about advocating who SHOULD be elected, it's about who WILL be elected based on certain factors I have identified, and more importantly about the significance of the Iowa primary (a topic you totally ignore in your insipid, valueless, childish comment).

If I didn't know better, Aris (and I don't), I'd think you were simply jealous, like a little boy in a schoolyard who goes around punching people.


Aris Katsaris says:

Sigh, I wonder -- do you think that by filling your posts with insult after insult, you'll somehow win the argument by default? Call me moron, call me a retard, call me a psychopath if you wish, what do you earn, except reveal yourself as beneath even my contempt?

"This post is about ELECTABILITY, you moron."

Unfortunately I can read better than you can write it seems. E.g. I saw you also call *idiotic* the article that dared discuss Obama's legislative accomplishments -- you dismissed the whole thing as irrelevant.

Even if they were irrelevant to Obama's *electability* (according to your bizarre analysis that arbitrarily stops at 25 years ago -- and this arbitrariness reveals the ludicrous biased nature of your argument), they still wouldn't be irrelevant to who *should* be elected.

And therefore they wouldn't be irrelevant at all. And therefore you'd have no reason to attack the article at all, for choosing to discuss who *should* be elected, rather than who is "electible" (with your bizarre historically myopic and only 25-year-ranged deficient analysis of electability)

See ya.








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