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Three Pictures are Worth a Hundred Thousand Screams

Filed under: Russia

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One of the most fundamental truths about humanity is that we can always trust a malignant little troll like Vladimir Putin to destroy himself, and his country, sooner or later.

History will show that Putin's Waterloo came when his ham-handed thugs launched their cowardly, dastardly attack on the peaceful cultural offices of the British Council across the country. Not only did this craven act betray to the world the true nature of the Putin regime, but it galvanized and motivated the mighty people of Britain, and especially their journalists, to march into battle against the neo-Soviet regime.

And so we get a devastating analysis of Putin's failure as a ruler from the Financial Times, one of the world's most well-respected newspapers, complete with three graphics that tell the tale better than any words ever could.

First the one at the top of this page, showing Potemkin Russia in all its inglorious horror. Then this one:

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showing how Russian economic development has lagged far behind the rest of the post-Soviet countries, none of which have the benefit of massive oil and gas reserves to artificially inflate their progress. Take the energy windfall away, and Russia stands on the brink of oblivion as all the other nations roar past it into the sunrise of democracy.

Then finally this one:

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indicating how Russia's political development also lags behind other key states like Poland and Ukraine with which it is in direct competition.

As if that were not enough, the FT quotes from a brilliant new book by the Economist's Russia correspondent, Edward Lucas, which lays out a battle plan for the "new cold war" with neo-Soviet Russia, highlighting that while Russia's intentions are malignant it's power is quite limited, so the time is now for action before things get worse. As Lucas shows, even a relatively impotent Vladimir Putin, like the stateless Osama bin Laden, is still capable of causing much horror in the world -- as Lucas and the FT emphasize, he's as much of a threat to his own people as he is to us. The FT writes: "Mr Putin then is a failure, not a success. But he is a dangerous failure. The regime he has created is unpredictable: nobody can know how the post-election duumvirate will work." We've used formal military force against the "dangerous failure" that is bin Laden, but Lucas shows how we can and must defeat Russia on economic battlefields (our prior piece about Turkmenistan gives one concrete example of our many opportunities to do so).

It can be seen from this brilliant reporting that the U.S. has not yet taken the leadership role it ought to have in dealing with neo-Soviet Russia. The coming election ought to change that, unless we intend to let Putin's Russia fester like an open sore as we did Hitler's Germany, dealing with the problem only when it becomes a disaster.

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Comments


Vova says:

Kim, I hope you are right regarding "we can always trust a malignant little troll like Vladimir Putin to destroy himself, and his country, sooner or later" but I wish it were much sooner.
Badri Shalvovich Patarkatsishvili, RIP. The orgy of political murders continued. Siloviki just fired another salvo. The previous one was simultaneous release of the Nemtsov & Milov and Tsyganok reports on the dismal state of RF defenses. "Nothing ever happens by accident, comrade" KGB was apt to say


La Russophobe says:

Well, it did take nearly a century for the USSR to destroy itself, and much harm was done to millions along the way, so they certainly need all the help we can give them. Thankfully, we now see the clarion call being made by the British, who also warned us the first time.


Pat Patterson says:

What was the joke about the realities of Russian power after the collapse of the USSR? An Upper Volta with missiles! I think originally the claim was Mexico but the Mexicans threatened to invade and Russia dropped the comparison.


this is awesome says:

"Take the energy windfall away, and Russia stands on the brink of oblivion as all the other nations roar past it into the sunrise of democracy."

So when you say "all the other nations" I trust you mean the Ukraine, whose economy is still(according to your wondrous graph) about 40% below its 1989 output levels?
(Russia finally surpassed its 1989 level this year) Yup, some 'roaring' progress they're making there.

What about all of the former Soviet countries of Central Asia and the Caucuses? I wasn't aware they were "roaring" towards anything, much less a sunlit future of democracy. How silly of me not to notice the wonderful democratic progress in Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan , Azerbaijan, etc.!

"graph showing how Russian economic development has lagged far behind the rest of the post-Soviet countries, none of which have the benefit of massive oil and gas reserves to artificially inflate their progress"

Um, so Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, and Turkmenistan don't have any oil or gas? Funny, I remember differently...

I'm not even sure why you saw fight to post the EBRD economic transition graph, since it gives lie to your hysterical whining about Putin re-socializing the economy (not in this article necessarily, but in many others). Is Russia perfectly functioning market economy? No but (again, according to your own graph) it is a "fully fledged" one.

The "cumulative GDP growth" graph is similarly meaningless. If you put the United States on this graph, it would be at the bottom? Why is that? Because such a graph only notes accumulated percentages and takes no account of the actual size of the economy.
Thus it is much easier to rack up 10% growth in a country like Georgia with a few million people and a GDP per-capita of a little over $1,500 that it is in a country like Russia with a GDP per capita of almost $16000, and a population of over 140,000,000 (or, similarly, a country like the USA)

I'd also note that countries such as Poland, the Czech Republic, et. all have several advantages that Russia could never have. First of all, their simple geographic location: it's much easier to grow your economy when you share a land border with one of the three largest economies on earth (Germany) and are integrated into the world's largest economic bloc (the EU).

Frankly, its a riot to see you so uncritically hawk such obviously puerile and politically-motivated analysis. You can, and should, attack some of Putin's centralization and anti-democracy moves. However, to see you go after his economic record is evidence that you aren't approaching the subject rationally, which is to be expected of someone of your mental capabilities, I suppose


La Russophobe says:

PAT: There was also "Zaire with permafrost."


edward lucas says:

Hi Kim

One small correction: I am not the Economist's Russia correspondent. Our bureau chief in Moscow is brilliant and I heartily recommend his reporting--especially the piece coming out tonight on ideology and history. I was there from 1998 to 2002, but I am now the London-based (and elaborately titled) Central and Eastern Europe Correspondent

best
Edward


wow says:

any lingering respect I had for edward lucas just went straight out the window, what a hack


elmer says:

rooskies love to come up with different excuses for anything and everything.

Excuses - rooskies have billions of them. It's limitless!

Here's one from above:


"I'd also note that countries such as Poland, the Czech Republic, et. all have several advantages that Russia could never have. First of all, their simple geographic location: it's much easier to grow your economy when you share a land border with one of the three largest economies on earth (Germany) and are integrated into the world's largest economic bloc (the EU)."


I'd say that first of all, Poland, etc. have the advantage of - not being rooshan.


Second, roosha conducts trade wars with anyone and everyone. Ukraine wants to get into the EU - but roosha is agitating against it.

Third, when was the last time you heard the Czech Republic threatening to point missiles at anyone? And Prague, and the rest of the country, is a very popular tourist destination, and the country seems to be doing very well economically.

roosha does not have capitalism or democracy - it has "managed corruption."

And in recent "negotiations" between roosha and Ukraine, we saw how roosha wishes to continue its "managed corruption" and to impose it on other countries by keeping the RosUkrEnergo skimming middleman in place.

Problem - roosha cannot meet its own gas needs just through its own resources - it needs Turkmen gas to supplement the demands not only of roosha but also of Ukraine and Europe.

roosha put the squeeze on Turkmenistan by forcing exclusive contracts on Turkmenistan and by forcing low prices on Turkmen gas.

Sooner or later, Turkmenistan will wake up.

In the meantime, roosha's "managed corruption" benefits Putin and a few of his thugs - at the cost and to the detriment of all the rest of roosha.


I guess it calls for more pictures of a bare-chested Putin holding his "fishing rod."


Yushchenko says:

Well, at the moment Russia possesses the GDP per capita of $14800, which is comparable to that of Poland. It is also the largest figure in the CIS, discounting the Baltic states. To common men, this may lead to a conclusion that Russian economic policies have had moderate success, based on the backyard competition. Personally, I would advocate lower tariffs, and further attraction of foreign investment as a source of future growth.

Legitimate criticisms exist over Russia’s political framework; however, they are not mentioned in this article. Further thought needs to be devoted on transforming Russia’s government into a two party system akin to the United States.

The view that a “leadership role” should be taken to change Russian policies is a strange one, since it seems to apply an ominous threat. Comparisons to Nazi Germany further raise menacing questions. Despite this tone, peaceful solutions that enrich the prosperity of the populace in Russia can be reached.

Vova and Kim continue to use the words “malignant” and “troll”, leaving questions to whether or not they are aware of the existence of countless other adjectives and nouns. At the moment, these appear to be like migratory birds lost somewhere below the equator.

Others in the thread argue business ethics, and xenophobia. An interesting mix, like a cup of cognac from society’s bowels. Facts are strangely absent, as if abducted in the night by an entity most foul. Such is the summary for future readers, and such it remains.






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