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Putin's Act of War in Georgia

Filed under: Georgia

On May 26th, the United Nations did something it very rarely does. It took a stand.

When that happens you know that some country has been caught dead to rights doing something so outrageous that even the cowardly bureaucrats at the UN were compelled to speak out against it.

No country in the world is better at committing acts that outrageous than Russia is.

In its May 26th report, after a formal investigation, the UN concluded that Russia had committed an act of war against Georgia when it shot down a Georgian reconnaissance aircraft as it flew over Georgian airspace last month in the country's breakaway province of Abkhazia. Russian then lied about doing so, in a typically cowardly and duplicitous manner. There's no other way to characterize this outrageous action: It's an act of war.

As Georgian president Mikheil Saakashvili stated: "The UN has released a report in which Russia is directly accused of aggression against Georgia. For the first time, the UN has directly pointed the finger at Russia."

Think Russia might have reconsidered its actions in light of this? Think Russia might have asked itself whether it was a good idea to establish a precedent like this, under which NATO would be perfectly free to take such actions in Russia's own breakaway provinces like Chechnya and Ingushetia?

If you did, you thought wrong. Russia has only become more aggressive.

Over the weekend, American diplomats expressed outrage as Russia announced its intention to actually invade sovereign Georgian territory (the UN report confirmed this). The U.S. State Department declared: "The United States is dismayed by Russia's Defense Ministry announcement on May 31 that it intends to send more military forces, including railroad construction troops, into the Georgian region of Abkhazia without the consent of the Georgian government."

Knowing Russia as I do, I don't dare imagine how violently they would react if NATO announced its intention to send platoons of "railroad construction troops" into Chechnya or Ingushetia. Yet, Russians have no hesitation in taking these actions in regard to its tiny neighbor to the south.

Georgia has repeatedly warned that Russia is clearly attempting to annex portions of its territory (even though Russia already controls more territory than any other nation in the world), and it is time for NATO and indeed the UN itself to take a stand. If Russian imperialism isn't stopped in Georgia today, it will spread just as surely as did Hitler's in Europe tomorrow.

Words simply fail when one attempts to discuss the level of hypocrisy required for Vladimir Putin, a proud KGB spy, to rail against U.S. militarism one moment and then conduct his own brand of it the next. What we see before us is a neo-Soviet Russia hellbent on repeating all the mistakes of its failed past, for reasons that can only be understood by Russians themselves.

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Another Brutal, Humiliating Defeat for Putin's Russia

Filed under: Georgia

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In a devastating embarrassment for Vladimir Putin's foreign policy, Georgia held elections this week and delivered stunning knockout blow to Russia's efforts to retain influence and control in the former Soviet republic.

In parliamentary elections that were judged as "good or very good at 92 percent of the 1,500 polling stations visited" by the Organization for Security and Cooperation in Europe Parliamentary Assembly, Georgian voters supported the party of the pro-West president Mikheil Saakashvili (shown above) by a landslide margin. The OSCE found that the quality of Georgia's elections had improved markedly from the last outing: "These elections were not perfect, but since I was here in January for the presidential election, concrete and substantial progress has been made," said Joao Soares, head of the OSCE Parliamentary Assembly mission.

Saakashvili's party dominated its pro-Russia opponent by a stunning margin of nearly three to one. The people of Georgia spoke loud and clear, saying that they wanted no part of their country's Soviet past and domination by the Russian Kremlin. Instead, they overwhelmingly favor alliance with the West, NATO membership and an independent course. Faced with repeated neo-imperialist efforts to unseat him, President Saakashvili has responded courageously and even heroically by simply calling election after election to let the people decide and winning each and every one.

Let's be clear: The United Opposition Movement headed by former presidential candidate Levan Gachechiladze is a real opposition party, harshly critical of Saakashvili and seeking to oust him from power. It was allowed to campaign aggressively and it won a large number of seats in Parliament. No such thing occurred last December in Russia. By contrast, not one single seat in Russia's new parliament is held by a party opposed to the dictatorial rule of Vladimir Putin.

It's more than a little telling that Russian "president" Dimitri Medvedev's first state visit after becoming "president" was a trip to China. Russia's relations with its former Soviet neighbors in Europe are imploding like a house of cards (just ten days ago, Russia received a similar poke in the eye from it's "little brother" in Serbia), and rather that seek to repair them it appears the Kremlin has simply given up hope and is trying to shore up its Far Eastern front.

Good luck with that, Mr. Medvedev. Do you really imagine the Chinese don't realize the racist contempt in which they are held by Russians? Do you really think you can appease the Chinese the way Stalin tried to appease Hitler, and thereby prevent China from annexing huge swaths of Russian territory to house its massive population (now ten times larger than Russia, but with less than one-third the national territory)?

Russia's foreign policy under Vladimir Putin has amounted to total, abject failure. Putin has provoked a new Cold War with the world's only superpower, alienated and polarized Western Europe with energy terrorism, poisoned its relations with former Soviet bloc friends and left Russia standing utterly alone in the world, without alliances or even constructive working relationships of any kind. Russia's only fellows are rogue regimes like those in Syria, Iran and Venezuela.

And there is nothing at all surprising in this. Though the complain about "encirclement" by the outside world, the people of Russia bring their troubles on themselves by choosing to be governed by a proud KGB spy raised on the mother's milk of propaganda and paranoia that brought down the USSR.

NOTE: To comment on this post for publication, write to: kimzigfeld@gmail.com

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Russia: Land of Bestial Hypocrisy

Filed under: Georgia ~ Russia

Once again, Russia has launched a barbaric and unprovoked military assault on Georgian territory, shooting down an unarmed surveillance drone in Georgian airspace. Like the cowards they are, Russians have brazenly denied the action even though Georgia has it recorded on video.

It's genuinely difficult to capture in words the full scope of Russia's hypocrisy where NATO expansion into Georgia is concerned. It operates on three entirely independent levels.

First, there's Russia's actions towards Georgia. Russians tried to claim they won some sort of victory when NATO didn't grant MAP status to Georgia at its recent summit in Romania. As Edward Lucas points out, Russians had claimed that if Georgia made any real progress towards membership, this would be "provocation" and Russia would respond in kind -- yet, although they claimed this didn't occur, Russians still moved aggressively to split off Georgia's breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Vladimir Putin announced new ties with those regions which were to include trade, agriculture, education, diplomacy and social support. Military assistance was on the table as well. "Support for the Abkhaz military in the form of logistics or ammunition, this is possible," said Putin. Both the former and current prime ministers of Estonia denounced the action. So which is it, Russians? Did you win in Romania, in which case your actions in Ossetia are an outrage, or did you lose and lie about it to everybody? Either way, it's manifest that Russia simply can't be trusted. Either way, its barbarism.

And then there's Russia's attitude towards Chechnya. By setting a precedent for intervention in Ossetia, how can Russia possibly complain if NATO decides to start supporting rebels in Russia's breakaway provinces in the same way? It's not a moot question. Reuters reports that Chechen rebel leader "Sulim Yamadayev, in an interview with Echo Moskvy radio station, said on Saturday amnestied rebels recruited by Chechnya's pro-Kremlin leader Ramzan Kadyrov were engaged in violence and stood ready for another war with Russia." Yamadayev declared: "You think there is order here? This amnestied army goes around with weapons. They do not have to hide and run... They have everything. They are just waiting!" Defense analyst Pavel Felgengauer said of the interview: "This is a very embarrassing statement and a very embarrassing situation for the Kremlin."

And third, there's Russia's proclaimed attitude towards unilateralism and the use of force. How often have we heard Putin screeching about the impropriety of America resorting to force and acting without consultation, only to turn around and do exactly the same thing whenever he chooses? As Streetwise Professor points out: "Putin and Lavrov, so sensitive to Russian territorial integrity, have more than once made irredentist threats against Ukraine, most notably making aggressive noises about eastern Ukraine and the Crimea. Important Duma members have mooted the possibility of renouncing the 1997 Russia-Ukraine interstate treaty guaranteeing the inviolability of Ukraine's borders. On cue, Chief of the General Staff of Russian Armed Forces, General Yuriy Baluyevsky, threatened military actions. With respect to Georgia, Putin and Russia have made it very clear of their intention to exacerbate tensions in Abkhazia and South Ossetia."

Russia refuses to respect the rights of Ukraine and Georgia, yet it expects NATO to respect Russia's rights in Chechnya. Russia claims it desperately wants Georgia to stay out of NATO, yet again and again it launches military attacks that leave Georgia with no other choice and belie Russian claims of benign intentions. This is hypocrisy and duplicity that is truly Soviet in scale and quality. If Russia is not careful, its disappearance from the globe may be just as Soviet.

NOTE: To comment on this post for publication, write to: kimzigfeld@gmail.com

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NATO, NOW: Georgia as the New Sudetenland

Filed under: Georgia

Writing in the Wall Street Journal on January 9th Mart Laar, former Prime Minister of Estonia, calls upon Europe and the United States to wake up and smell the Georgian coffee:

Saturday's re-election of Mikheil Saakashvili takes Georgian democracy a step forward. The largely free and fair contest helps repair Georgia's international image, which suffered after November's clashes between opposition protesters and police brought on emergency rule.

This doesn't mean that the West can now pay less attention. The lessons learned from countries in transition, not least in the Baltics, is that international involvement is critical for success. And I do not mean just the hands-on support for developing democratic institutions, as important as that is. In this strategic and rough neighborhood, political symbolism and gestures have immense significance. It is crucial for the people and their leaders to feel that the future of their democracy and continued self-determination is a real European concern.

It was Russian pressure on this young democracy, after all, that contributed to the recent crisis. Russia is now the only major country to declare Georgia's elections "undemocratic." Opposed to Georgia's turn to the West after the 2003 Rose Revolution, Moscow launched an economic, energy and propaganda war, cutting trade with Georgia and raising tensions in the two breakaway regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia. The Kremlin's ceaseless pressure has led to mistakes, by both the government and the opposition.

The West can't of course accept any trade-offs between democracy and the rule of law on the one hand, and Georgia's fears of Russia. At the same time, it is unacceptable that Russia seeks to destabilize its neighbors. Europe should not make any trade-offs with Russia on this either. This includes the West's full and nonnegotiable support for Georgia's territorial integrity.

The best way to guarantee the stability in the region is to keep the door open for Georgia to NATO. In a separate vote last Saturday, an overwhelming majority of Georgians supported joining the West's military alliance. As a first step, Georgia has long hoped for an invitation to join NATO's Membership Action Plan, a program designed to help aspiring members meet NATO's standards for democracy and peaceful conflict resolution. Rejecting Georgia's bid now would discourage not only Tbilisi but other countries trying to embrace democracy. Georgia has made impressive progress. As Western politicians we are obliged to continue to engage in this process. This is not the time to bail out, but to be part of the solution.

Are we going to look at our shoes while Russia tries every trick in the book to seize Georgia, just the way Hitler seized the Sudetenland, up to and including military attack when all else fails? Will it be only when images of horrific violence flash across our screens, as they did when Russians marched into Afghanistan, that we finally realize the need to take action, paying a far greater cost than necessary and costing the lives of countless thousands who hoped for better from us?

Georgia must be brought into the NATO fold. Now. A clear signal must be sent to neo-Soviet Russia that any hobnailed toe it plunges outside its border will be cut off; Russia knows full well that it lacks the military wherewithal to challenge NATO, but if NATO will not speak up then it may conclude NATO will not act. Georgia must be given a civilized chance to focus on national development and recovery from Russian exploitation during the Soviet era without spending every waking moment worrying about the next Russian salvo.

Mr. Laar clearly understands: Today Georgia, tomorrow Estonia, the day after that . . . the Sudetenland?

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The Neo-Soviet Malignancy of Russia's Georgia Plot

Filed under: Georgia ~ Russia

The brilliant and courageous Vladimir Socor of the Jamestown Foundation's Eurasia Daily Monitor reveals that Russia is pouring "Kadyrovtsi" Chechens (sycophants of Russia's puppet regime in Chechnya) into Georgia's breakaway territory of Abkhazia in at an attempt to foment an outbreak of violence that will justify a Russian intervention. Socor writes:

On October 30 an APC-borne Russian "peacekeeping" unit attempted to take control of the Ganmukhuri youth camp, situated within Georgian-controlled territory near the Georgian-Abkhaz demarcation line. Firing warning shots the Russian soldiers disarmed, bound, and beat bloody the three Georgian policemen who guarded the youth camp. The Russians desisted and left after Georgian President Mikheil Saakashvili flew in by helicopter and personally confronted the "peacekeepers." The Russian solders who staged the October 30 raid claimed to have been insulted verbally by a Georgian patrol they had encountered en route, whereupon the Russians raided the youth camp. If so, their disproportionate reaction reflected the Russian "peacekeepers" are unsuitable for the mission, unless they staged the raid on orders from their command. The incident revealed publicly for the first time the presence of Chechen soldiers among Russian "peacekeepers" in Abkhazia. Intelligence had reported this fact recently, but now a few Chechen "peacekeepers" appeared on television when Saakashvili confronted the Russian unit. Moscow's recent decision to employ Chechens as "peacekeepers" in Abkhazia adds a somewhat sinister note to Russian policies in the region. It is a move to play tribal politics on either side of the Caucasus Range, calculating to set Georgians and Chechens against each other again, and possibly preparing to stage-manage a 1992-93-style "response from the peoples of the North Caucasus" to incidents involving Chechens in Russian service in the Georgian-Abkhaz theater.

Socor has produced a litany of brilliant coverage of the Georgia question recently, including pieces on efforts to undermine the government by a Kremlin-friendly oligarch schooled in Russian organized crime who controls a major Georgian TV station and how his efforts lie behind the recent public unrest, seeking to drive Georgia away from the embrace of NATO and back into a state of neo-Soviet submission. No sooner has Georgia succeeded in ejecting Russia's Soviet-era military bases from its soil than it is faced with invasion by "peacekeepers" seeking to split off hunks of its territory to be subsumed by Russia.

If something like this were happening in Russia itself -- if, say, this oligarch's name were Boris Berezovsky rather than Badri Patarkatsishvili -- then the Kremlin would instantly jail him, all the while screaming to high heaven about the evils of foreign subversion of Russia's sovereignty. But Russia has no problem with such activities when they occur in other countries on Russia's behalf -- and the Georgian president's heroic response is simply to call elections and let the people decide. This fortitude makes Vladimir Putin look like the milquetoast he is.

This is the horror of neo-Soviet hypocrisy and imperialism, laid bare.

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Attaboy, Dubya!

Filed under: Georgia

We've had no hesitation on this blog in letting George "Dubya" Bush have it when he fell short of the mark in carrying through on America's democratic promise.

But let's be clear: This president has done many wonderful things for the country during his tenure, though of course he's made mistakes like all presidents do. Above all, he's kept this country 100% free of incidents of domestic terrorism since the 9/11 atrocity. That's no small thing.

And his response to Georgia's recent emergency has been right on the mark. Matt Bryza, assistant secretary of state for European affairs and the top U.S. official for the Caucasus laid out that policy clearly and simply over the weekend: "The president of Georgia has shown remarkable leadership. We trust in Georgia, the people of Georgia, the leadership of Georgia."

Russia denies seeking to upend the Georgian democracy and retake the country as a slave state just as in Soviet times. So what. Does anyone believe that the Kremlin would admit it if it were doing so? Russia evinces a pathological desire to restore the Soviet empire by any means possible. What we see in Georgia today is no different that what we saw in Czechoslovakia during the first cold war, and it appears the Bush administration understands this.

Pushing Russia out of Georgia can be one of the lasting positive historical legacies of the Bush administration. It's clear that Bush has not done enough to make it clear to Russia it will not be allowed to threaten Georgia's sovereignty, and this is the reason Russia has tried to do so (the same holds true in regard to Ukraine). That's another black mark on the Bush foreign policy record regarding Russia, but it's not too late to remove it. The administration must not squander the opportunity to salvage both democracy and its own reputation by drawing a line in the sand between Georgia and Russia.

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We are at War with Neo-Soviet Russia

Filed under: Georgia

Whether we fully realize it yet is another question.

Here's a little imagination exercise: The United States has presidential elections scheduled for November 2008. Let's just imagine that Mahmoud Ahmadinejad of Iran comes to visit the United Nations next week, and while he's here he uses some of his country's oil revenues to buy himself a few thousand protesters (he can get them off the rack at Moveon.org, cheaper by the dozen; a few members of Congress might even come along). Let's say they go down to Washington DC and camp outside the White House. They hang George Bush (let's say he's only on his first term) in effigy and call him a terrorist. They call for his impeachment, and they won't leave no matter what until Bush agrees to move up the November elections to January and stand for reelection right away.

Should he do it? Should he prove to this cadre of wackos, lackeys of a foreign rogue regime, that the country really supports him?

Well, that's what Georgian President Mikhail Saakashvili has agreed to do, in a nutshell. So much for him being anti-democratic! Can one be sure we would be as democratic in his shoes? In Russia, we know for sure than many of these protesters would already be dead or in jail -- Russia never lets such protests get started in the first place. That is the most fundamental reason why Russia is a creaking wreck of a country hurtling towards oblivion.

Russia is now doing in Georgia exactly what it has already tried and failed to do in Ukraine -- use street protests by stooges to force the regime to call elections. It lost those elections in Ukraine, and we saw Yulia Timoshenko rise to power. Having failed, it's doggedly trying again in Georgia.

It will fail again. And when it does, it will not stop. It will move to yet another level of barbarity, outrage and attack, and like the Terminator it will not stop until it has destroyed itself or regained these nations as slave states. The lessons of history mean nothing to Russians, nor do the lives of Russian citizens. Only the great imaginary "destiny" of Russia itself.

Our duty is clear. But will we do it?

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Georgia, Burning

Filed under: Georgia

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In March, we reported on how Russia was seeking to destabilize Georgia's breakaway republic of Abkhazia. In fact, Georgia accused Russia of going even further, seeking to directly foment a coup d'etat against its elected government. After Georgia arrested and expelled the alleged conspirators, Russia launched a massive set of economic sanctions and racist pogroms against Georgians living in Russia. When Georgia shrugged off the sanctions, Russians became desperate.

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Annals of Outrageous Russian Hypocrisy: Even I Can't Believe THIS One . . . But it's True!

Filed under: Georgia

"Georgia and some of its Western partners tried, in great haste . . . in the space of a few hours, to accuse us of aggression against Georgia," First Deputy Foreign Minister Grigory Karasin told Vesti-24 television.

I rarely if ever write in the first person, so I should be able to create a bit of extra emphasis by choosing to do so now. I've spent a lot of time watching Russia, but the above quotation from Reuters today takes the cake as the single most outrageous, unhinged and outright crazy statement I've ever heard come out of that benighted, pathetic, yet terribly dangerous country. It's an insult to my intelligence just to see it there in print. I'm sorry for insulting yours by putting it up there (an apology and a first person -- this post is truly one in a million!).

Apparently, Mr. Karasin is unaware of how his own government reacted when Georgia had the temerity to complain about Russian warplanes invading its airspace and huge missiles being dropped on its territory. Apparently, he thinks that Russia admitted the possibility that a Russian plane could have been involved, but called for an fair-minded investigation to see whether some other cause might be found.

To say the least, that's not what happened. Within literally seconds of Georgia's complaint being announced, without undertaking any kind of investigation whatsoever, not only did Russian authorities deny any possibility of involvement, they immediately accused Georgia of attacking itself to make Russia look bad, just as they accused Alexander Litvinenko of poisoning himself. Subsequently, an international review commission has found these statements to be total fabrications and held Russia accountable for the attack. The only reason the U.N. Security Council hasn't formally voted a censure against Russia is that Russia has used its veto to block the vote, obstructing the will of the entire rest of the planet.

Moreover, Mr. Karasin apparently wants us to believe that if Georgian planes did this to Russia, the Kremlin would call for calm investigation before attempting to place blame on anyone (to understand how just-plain-demented that is, recall that many in the Russian government at first tried to blame NATO sabotage for the sinking of the Kursk submarine by purely Russian malfeasance; recall too how Russians conducted pogroms against Georgians when the country dared to protest an attempt by Russia to foment a coup d'etat against its elected president, including issuing edicts to round up Georgian children based on their last names).

Even though I have a lot of experience watching Russia, it's just amazing to me that Russians still think they can get away with this kind of garbage, just the same things they tried in Soviet times, the same things that destroyed the USSR utterly. It would be funny if so many lives were not on the line. Mr. Karasin has got so used to spewing out any kind of nonsense for the lemming-like, isolated and ignorant people of Russia to swallow whole that, just as in Soviet times, he's lost the ability to perceive that he can't expect the people of other countries to behave similarly. Apparently, "The Emperor's New Clothes" is not a story that gets much read in Russia.

It's understandable, perhaps, that Russians are disappointed to find the world will not sit idly by and give Russia the chance to become a new threat to world security, since that's the only way Russia can achieve its goal. But how can any thinking people believe that Russia is entitled to the benefit of any doubt given the manner in which it has conducted itself over the past few years, or that anyone would fall for such a ridiculous line of sewage? Only a truly deluded person, totally detached from reality, could possibly think so. And it seems that is what we confront where Russia is concerned. La-la land.

Except that it's not. What we confront is an Evil Empire. Russia is engaged in a conscious plan to destabilize and conquer Georgia by first fomenting unrest in Georgia's breakaway republics (even while claiming that Russia's own breakaway regions, like Chechnya, must remain part of Russia). In doing so, it prevents Georgia from joining NATO and creates the necessary conditions for Russian intervention to "save" Georgia from itself.

And if we don't stop it, to the extent Russia is able, we'll be next on the menu. Thankfully, it's still the same old arrogant, insular, ignorant, ham-handed Russia that destroyed itself countless times in the past, so the task isn't that daunting, not if we will role up our sleeves and get to work. The benefits will accrue not only to ourselves, but to the people of Russia as well. It seems that, once again, we're their only hope.

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Russia and Georgia: On the Brink of War

Filed under: Georgia

georgia_map_200.gif Britain's Telegraph newspaper reports that Russia has fired missiles into Georgia. The paper states: "Vano Merabishvili, Georgia's interior minister, said that two Sukhoi attack aircraft entered Georgian airspace from Russia at 7:30 pm last night and fired at least one air-to-surface missile towards the village of Tsitelubani, 40 miles west of Tbilisi. The missile carved a 5-metre deep crater into a corn and potato field but failed to detonate." Merabishvili told the paper by telephone: "We cannot understand why this has happened. This village has no political or military importance. But less than 5 kilometres from the area is a Georgian tracking radar, and it is my view and the view of our military that this was the target." Rushing to the scene, Georgia's president Mikhail Saakashvili condemned the raid as an yet another effort to destabilize his nation.

Drunk on lust and hatred, the neo-Soviet Union is moving to full attack mode. First it seeks to unilaterally seize the Arctic, and now, before the dust of international outrage over that reckless act of provocation has even settled, it is brazenly committing acts of war against a smaller neighbor. It's vital that the world rushes to show solidarity with Georgia, which has valiantly defeated Russia's first round of imperialism seeking to bring the nation back into the neo-Soviet fold (this included even a coup d'etat followed by an embargo). This isn't the first time Russia, obviously frustrated by its inability to bring Georgia to heel through other means, has made a military incursion into Georgian territory. How long before Georgia does what it must do and defends itself from this naked imperialism?

CNN has video, click here to watch.

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