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SAAKASHVILI TO PREDICT REVOLUTION IN… BELARUS?

Yesterday I posted that Georgian President Saakashvili will predict where the next revolution will be on April 22 during the next GUUAM summit. Check out what this article has to say.

TBILISI. April 19 (Interfax) – Georgia’s parliament plans to adopt an address that will be sent to the people of Belarus this week.

“The parliament of Georgia is confident that the fraternal people of Belarus will be able to overcome all resistance which is being put up by internal and external retrograde forces, and this wonderful European country will not be isolated,” reads the draft document.

Chairman of the parliamentary committee for international relations Konstantin Gabashvili, one of the authors of the address, told journalists that “Belarus is a European country. One person cannot rule it single-handedly.”

I think that could be a pretty good indicator of where Saakashvili is moving. In any case, perhaps Belarus won’t even be the next revolution, but instead this will be a symbolic address similar to President Bush’s own moral support. It’s something that the people there really need, and given recent pressure applied by the U.S., UN, EU, and Ukraine, it looks like, quite possibly, the entire free world may be getting behind this, one step at a time.

Of course, Lukashenko is mighty irritated.

President Alexander Lukashenko of Belarus, under pressure from both the United States and the European Union over his authoritarian rule, said on Tuesday that there would be no Western-inspired “revolution” in his country, and that he would stay in power until 2010.

“We categorically reject the scenarios of ‘democratic change’ of political elites who don’t please people in the West,” he said in an annual message to the Belarussian people.

Referring to recent Western-influenced changes in countries such as Ukraine — where the ouster of the former leadership was called the “orange revolution” — Lukashenko said: “All these coloured revolutions are pure and simple banditry.”

“We are going to accomplish key tasks in the coming five years,” he said. “Only the Belarus people can prevent us FROM doing that. No money will overthrow the government in Belarus.”

The statement came four days after an EU meeting of foreign ministers accused Lukashenko of steering Belarus towards “dictatorship,” and shortly before US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is due to meet with Belarussian opposition figures in neighbouring Lithuania. Rice is currently visiting Russia.

Last October Lukashenko won a referendum which allowed him to serve as many five-year mandates as he wanted. The vote was severely criticized by both outside observers and the Belarus opposition.

His current five-year mandate ends next year.

In Tuesday’s statement, Lukashenko also lashed out directly at both the EU and the United States, which he accused of “wanting to teach democracy to Belarus.”

I hadn’t known that Rice will be meeting with Belarussian opposition leaders in Lithuania. Talk about direct with intentions! I love it.

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