Carlos Alberto Montaner always gets it right, but he’s done it this week with special brilliance. He warns that Bolivia is on a suicide path with the likely election of Evo Morales, but also notes that the failure of the current ruling class over so many decades is to blame, something I believe too. It’s certainly how Hugo Chavez got a foothold.

He is hearing the same things I am hearing: that Bolivia will become a drug haven under Morales, that Brazil will be the first victim, that a breakup of the state is likely, and that a war with Chile may happen. He writes:

The consequences of this election, if Morales wins, will rattle all of South America.

He’s right. And it might happen, given the continuous failure of the ruling classes to do anything to alleviate it all.

Read the whole thing here.