AMLO’s supporters out demonstrating in Mexico City
Source: El Universal (Mexico)

There’s no news link, just a wire report that’s not out on the Internet yet. AMLO is leading in the Mexican presidential election official count with 35% of the polling stations officially counted already. The first “quick count” results said that Felipe Calderon had won. Now, the PREP, or summary, results, which are being tallied now, say that AMLO is in the lead – and that lead is pretty big, three percentage points with 50% of the ballots officially counted. (Update: It’s diminishing to 2.42% with 64% of the PREP stuff counted). Anything could happen. It’s going to be a wild ride….

Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador casts his ballot Sunday
Source: Agencia EFE, via Yahoo! Mexico

The IFE electoral board’s site is here.

IFE’s quick count, dated July 3, seems to be on this site labelled PREP here.

The official tally, if there is one, we are now looking for now but have not found yet.

UPDATE: El Universal has a newswire-style string of little updates in Spanish confirming this trend here.

UPDATE: See Matthew Shugart’s new post at Fruits and Votes here.

UPDATE: Now with 77.93% of the vote counted, AMLO has a 2.1 percentage point advantage over Calderon. The score: 36.73% to 34.63%, in AMLO’s favor.

UPDATE: Pajamas Media has more links here.

UPDATE: Agencia EFE has a well-explained news account of the state of affairs currently here.

UPDATE: El Universal has an update, it says that with 79.21% of the vote counted, preliminary or otherwise, AMLO’s lead has narrowed to 2.06 percentage points, 36.73% to 34.63%, still in AMLO’s favor.

BREAKING NEWS: Andres Oppenheimer at The Oppenheimer Report Blog has a key update on the election based on an interview with one of the IFE guys who explained out why these confusing results are happening and where the missing three million votes went. It’s a must-read with real news here.

UPDATE: RealClearPolitics has an excellent roundup of all the key news items and editorials on the Mexican election, including Mary O’Grady’s excellent on the ground report, at this link here.

UPDATE: El Universal is reporting 81.04% of the tally in, with the percentage point differential in AMLO’s favor at 1.97. The tally now reads 36.65%
to 34.68%, with AMLO still ahead.

UPDATE: 83.53% of the vote counted. AMLO’s lead continues to narrow. El Universal reports a 36.55% in favor of AMLO, against 34.73% voting for Calderon, a 1.82 percentage point differential now.

UPDATE: 84.84% of the vote counted. AMLO’s lead narrows further. El Universal reports a 1.77 percentage point differential. The tally now reads 36.51% – 34.74%, in AMLO’s favor.

UPDATE: Daniel Duquenal at Venezuela News & Views has a good item on the impact of PAN’s lead in the congressional composition. It’s worth reading here.

UPDATE: 85.34% of the precincts counted. AMLO’s lead is now just 1.72 percentage points. 36.49% in favor of AMLO, 34.77% in favor of Calderon. The El Universal link is here.

AMLO’s supporters rallying in Mexico City
Source: Reuters, via Yahoo!

UPDATE: 86.61% of the precincts in. 1.62 percentage point differential between AMLO and Calderon. El Universal‘s tally has a 36.45% – 34.83% breakdown in AMLO’s favor.

UPDATE: Getting kinda scary all right. With 90.57% of the precincts in, the differential between AMLO and Calderon has shrunk to just 1.2 percentage points. AMLO has 36.23% of the vote and Calderon has 35.03%. El Universal has the link here.

UPDATE: 91.21% of the precincts counted. If I had to guess, based on the rate of his gains and the remaining votes to be counted, I’d say Calderon is not going to make it. El Universal‘s latest breakdown is 36.19% – 35.06%, AMLO’s favor, with a 1.13 percentage point differential. See it here.

UPDATE: Global Voices has found something really cool – a chat site where Mexican voters are giving their opinions about the election in real-time, it’s a must-see here.

UPDATE: And don’t miss David Sasaki’s Global Voices roundup on Mexican elections from yesterday, he’s got all these updates from Mexican bloggers inside Mexico, with lots of translations of the issues at hand, it’s well worth reading here.

UPDATE: 92.17% of the ballot counted. 0.99 percentage point differential between AMLO and Calderon. 36.11% favor AMLO, 35.12% favor Calderon. El Universal has the link here.

UPDATE: Ziva in the comments below calls it right when she says ‘nail-biter.’ With 92.69% of the precincts counted, AMLO has AMLO has 36.07% of the vote, and Calderon has 35.15% of the vote, there’s just 0.92 percentage point between them. I have no idea how this will turn out, it could be an exact tie. El Universal has the rest here.

AMLO awaits the final result
Source: Agencia EFE, via Yahoo! Mexico

UPDATE: Mexicans are calling this more exciting than the World Cup, and once again repeating that they don’t want another Hugo Chavez in this Reuters report here. LA Weekly has an atmospheric report from Mexico City in this very good article here.

UPDATE: 93.67% of the vote counted. AMLO has 35.99%, Calderon has 35.22%. The percentage point differential is 0.77. I can’t tell a thing about who’s gonna win. Anything can happen. El Universal has the rest here.

UPDATE: Michelle Dion at La Profesora Abstraida has more minute to minute liveblogging here.

UPDATE: Washington Post has a riveting item about how things are right this second in Mexico as the voting count goes on. It describes the process of counting in particular and gives a good overview.

UPDATE: 94.09% of the precincts are counted. AMLO has 35.97% and Calderon has 35.24%. The percentage differential is now 0.73 point. El Universal has the latest here.

UPDATE: 94.22% of the precincts counted. AMLO has 35.96% and Calderon has 35.25%. The percentage differential is now 0.71 point at El Universal here.

UPDATE: Mark in Mexico has liveblogging of the tallies as well as good explanations of how the vote is being counted, district by district. Read it here.

UPDATE: Cliffhanger. 95.48% of the vote counted. AMLO has 35.84%, Calderon has 35.35%. The point differential is now 0.49. El Universal has the rest here.

UPDATE: 96.08% of the vote counted. AMLO 35.77%, Calderon 35.41%, a 0.36 percentage point differential. El Universal has the latest here.

UPDATE: Publius Mexican coverage continues here.