Blogging the democratic revolution
Once again, the brilliant Carlos Alberto Montaner writes what I wish I’d written. He is awesome, awesome. He tells why President Carlos Mesa was not fit to govern, the sad subtext to all the turmoil in Bolivia. Read it here.
Miguel Centellas gives it till the end of the year. Read it here.
Miguel at MABB on Bolivia has a very significant item utterly ignored in the U.S. media about how Bolivia’s protestors are being coerced. They are being shaken down by Marxist social movements like Evo Morales’ ally FEJUVE, which sends block committees into neighborhoods of El Alto, checking to see that at least one member of the household is out there protesting for Morales’ suicidal nationalization causes. I knew those Indians weren’t doing this on their own! There were too many of them at the pro-Mesa protests in March. They are being forced to protest! Or else. The Morales crew puts…
Miguel Centellas at Ciao! reports an alarming development about the military as it dispatches troops around El Alto, La Paz and Santa Cruz – it’s using constitutional language about mandates and law but its actions show that it’s clearly acting on its own. This is the era of autonomous stateless social movements, why not autonomous stateless armies? Gives a creepy whiff of where this is going in Bolivia. Read it here.
Eduardo Rodriguez, president of the Supreme Court will take the job vacated by President Carlos Mesa, a journo source tells me. Forecast: this won’t satisfy the angry mobs of Evo Morales and worse. UPDATE: Confirmed, hot off the press. UPDATE: And Rodriguez is calling for early elections. In the fervor of the moment, this could mean Bolivia will have a President Evo Morales. And that should be the end of Bolivia getting a new president every year. Alvaro at BLOG DE BOLIVIA informs us that Evo Morales is not impressed and intends to continue civil disobedience. He also warns that…
Like Rwanda 1994, Bolivia grows worse, and worse. It’s collapsing as a nation. No one is at the helm of leadership, and no consensus on any leadership is on the horizon. The angry indigenous groups seem to be energized by growing strife and are rising in numbers. There seems to be an equally determined group on the other side in Santa Cruz who can find no common ground with their countrymen. President Mesa has warned that the country is sliding into civil war and has appealed to his Santa Cruz vice president to submit to elections. The vice president has…
President Mesa offered his resignation to Congress as huge protests engulfed the capital for the past two weeks. These protests were led by angry leftist and Indian groups, demanding nationalization of Bolivia’s energy industry. But they are not the only angry group in the country – there are equally angry people in Santa Cruz, where the energy is located. Crucenos, many of whom are industrious immigrants, very much want the oil and natural gas industries developed through private means, as they would be in a normal country, with critical foreign investment so that jobs and a dynamic economy will be…
This one looks a lot more unstable – stay tuned. Read it here.
Evo Morales is at it again in Bolivia. Now that the president has been weakened by the fleeing of foreign investors, Morales and his dynamite-hurling coca-growers have grown emboldened. The whole city of La Paz seems to be under seige. ééThe protests have grown today,” Morales said in a phone interview from La Paz. ééWe have no other option. The capital is paralyzed.” Bloomberg has the best initial news account. AP reports that the city of La Paz is pretty much sealed off and isolated by the roadblockers. UPDATE: Bolivia’s FEJUVE group from El Alto, a group apparently more radical…
President Mesa declined to sign or veto the oil and gas tax bill on his desk Tuesday. As a result, the Senate leader ratified it this morning. Energy royalties will now be raised to 18%, on top of 32% taxes, both steep hikes. The move is expected to chase out $10 billion in foreign investment, delivering to Bolivia a great gas future under the ground. The news item is here. Bloomberg reports that huge projects have been shelved: Kieffer said projects such as a $1.5 billion petrochemical plant and a $400 million fertilizer project, both of which depended on tapping…
Tens of thousands of union supporters from El Alto, apparently, people even more extreme than Evo Morales, have begun roadblocks through Bolivia to shut down the country until it comes around to their point of view about developing Bolivia’s natural gas resources. And they’ve since raised earlier demands from a mere 50% royalties to full Stalinist-style nationalization. Until Bolivians consent to that, they are going to starve them, preventing the entry of food into the cities. The government is powerless to stop them. Agencia EFE reports that tens of thousands of these supporters tried to storm Congress in La Paz.…
Sure enough, right outside the office of a foreign oil company, Brazil’s Petrobras, in the pro-trade city of Santa Cruz. A car full of dynamite. The news item is here. And an updated item with the broader picture is here. Here is what the Bolivian blogs say: BARRIO FLORES’ Eduardo says the bomb raises the specter of the gas development struggle taking a violent turn. He notes that the people claiming responsibility for the attack have said their assault against the Brazilian company was actually an anti-George Bush statement. Some believe they spoke with Central American accents. The terrorists also…
Last week, Congress approved steep taxes on oil and gas as a compromise between the industrious free marketers of Santa Cruz province, and the Marxist nationalizers of cocalero kingpin Evo Morales, who gets his funding from the drug trade and from Venezuela’s Hugo Chavez. Obviously, that was no solution. Santa Cruz province is threatening to secede over this move that is sure to keep Bolivia’s gas in the ground. The province is also angry at the breaking of already signed contracts with investors. The Marxist coca growers, meanwhile, threaten more roadblocks to starve the cities into coming to their point…
Bolivia’s passed its Hydrocarbons Law, on fairly miserable terms that will be sure to chase out foreign investment, dispirit President Carlos Mesa, rouse Evo Morales to block roads and starve cities, and drive separatist sentiment in pro-trade Santa Cruz province. And the result of all this? Bolivia’s natural gas will face a great future underground. Miguel Buitrago has the whole story, nicely analysed, here.
Bolivia’s excellent Miguel Buitrago, who blogs in English, warns that big trouble may begin tomorrow in Bolivia. The Congress is set to vote on the question of taxes and royalties on Monday, May 2, and Coca King Evo Morales, fresh from being succored by Chavez and Castro in Havana this past week, is in no mood for backing down. As such, Bolivians will be deprived of the opportunity to develop their resources and Bolivian natural gas faces a great future underground. If the worst happens, Evo Morales should be so proud. But Bolivians may not stand for it, and that…
Alvaro Vargas Llosa, an author of The Complete Guide To The Perfect Latin American Idiot (it has a whole chapter on Castro worship) and now, Liberty for Latin America: How to undo 500 years of state oppression will be interviewed by Jim Lehrer of PBS. Alvaro Vargas Llosa is one of the world’s foremost experts on Latin America. Like Hernando de Soto, he’s a Peruvian, and he’s now at the Independent Institute, in Oakland. When people ask me where I learned about the place, I always point in his direction. He is one of the most brilliant and interesting intellectuals…
Miguel Buitrago at MABB blog in Bolivia has gotten word of four new blogs about Bolivia. See his roundup here. Apparently, blogging has taken off in Bolivia, a superb development, given the hammerlock assorted leftists have always had on news coming out of Bolivia. Now, we don’t need them, we get our news from Bolivians direct. Good work, Bolivian bloggers!
How’d I miss this? Here is a terrific Bolivian blog from a Santa Cruz perspective called Blog de Bolivia by Alvaro Piaggio, written with a fierce eye on Bolivia’s democracy struggle, in the context of other democracy struggles around the world today. Santa Cruz, Bolivia is the market-oriented, free-trading, libertarian half of the country, brimming with industrious immigrants, with a cold view of the communism preached by coca-grower Evo Morales. Alvaro’s blog is in Spanish but if you can read it, the perspective is crisp and fresh, not what we are used to getting from the jaded mainstream media.
An informative and disturbing essay from Bolivia here.
The people have spoken. Thousands of Bolivians in many cities have come out and rallied behind President Mesa. Gratifyingly, the news photos showed lots of Indian faces. President Mesa’s victory from his ‘resignation’ seems to have forged a fragile consensus across the country in favor of freer markets, foreign investment and more openness to the world. This shows a lot of courage. Evo Morales vows to make trouble but he does not seem to be gaining traction. His roadblocks are being dismantled or driven right through, only one big one remains, near Cochabamba. Meanwhile, President Mesa is beginning to reach…
Here is a news roundup for March 8, in as close to chronological order as I think I can get (input welcome!)and then various perspectives from the region’s bloggers, filling out details the media has missed. I will update as more info becomes available. If anyone sees more good Bolivian blogs I have missed, please let me know either on the comments board or at my email: ammorayleon at gmail.com There are huge ups and downs in Bolivia and its story moves like mercury – every time I go back to check on stories, dramatic new developments happen – almost…
Bolivia’s president has won! Just as one of our excellent Bolivian bloggers, MABB’s Miguel told us yesterday, Bolivia’s President Carlos Mesa has won! Congress this morning voted to reject his resignation. The People Power revolution has beaten Evo Morales and all his mob soundly. Pres. Mesa stays, and not only that, he’s now in a position of political strength! A weak state may now become a strong, effective one. Pres. Mesa, who’s a well-regarded, even-handed non-partisan political leader, may be just the one who can help Bolivia along in its national development. This is tremendous news! Bolivia has won! Will…
UPDATED, UPDATED: Bolivia’s President Carlos Mesa turned in his resignation to Congress this morning. (Link updated). Congress, which is led by opposition lawmakers, will vote on whether to accept it Tuesday in a special session. The gas-rich country’s been a tragic failed state for about a year and a half, but this could be a major turn for the worse, or else a bold bid by Pres. Mesa to rally support from the public. There is still uncertainty about what sort of government is to follow. There is considerable suspicion about the role of Venezuela in creating the crisis. Last…