Blogging the democratic revolution
This makes political influential number three after Rafik Hariri and Samir Kassir. Former Community Party leader George Hawi was killed in a car-bomb blast in Beirut’s Wata Mosseitbeh middle-class neighborhood at midmorning Tuesday in the latest link of a chain of political assassinations that rocked the nation in connection with Syria’s expulsion from Lebanon. He was 65. Police said the thunderous explosion went off as Hawi, an outspoken critic of Syria’s heavy-handed tutelage, climbed into his car, turned on the ignition and started the Mercedes-Benz rolling. Investigators have determined that the blast was detonated by remote control. A worker at…
I’m going to take Gary’s banner and run with it here: how is it that the blogosphere is getting this story so wrong? I usually don’t like to open my mouth too wide too quickly, but when the media isn’t even shooting, the blogosphere simply can’t afford to miss the mark. What I mean by this is that many bloggers are pointing to the obvious fact that the election results were rigged, instead of to the not-so-obvious fact that the regime had to invent high turnout numbers to legitimize itself. That’s the real story. So blogosphere, stop pouting. Moin the…
Tony predicted an Aoun loss, so obviously that was going to be the outcome. Er, and it was! Saad Hariri’s alliance swept all 28 seats, cementing him in parliament with a 72 seat majority in parliament and shutting out the possibility of an Aoun 1/3 veto. Beirut, Lebanon – The anti- Syrian Opposition dealt a commanding blow to Michel Aoun’s return to the Lebanon political scene. In a clean sweep of the 28 contested seats for North Lebanon, the Opposition amassed over 56% of the total seats in the electionin what is being hailed a landslide victory. The official results…
I will be updating this post with more pictures as I find them and as they are sent to me. So if you have photos from anti-regime demonstrations, send them to me! Click “more” for the photos.
I usually do an analysis every week right before each election round in Lebanon; this being the last. However, Tony at Across The Bay, who is a Ph.D. candidate in Ancient Near Eastern Studies, has an analysis that I agree with so much that I asked him if I could simply reproduce it here. It pertains to the election alliances shaping up in Northern Lebanon for the elections today, and his prediction. And again, I definitely recommend his blog! –Robert Mayer Although I don’t usually play the prediction game, I’m going to venture and say that the Karami-Frangieh-Aoun alliance is…
Overview: According to the document released by the Iranian government, a polling station for the presidential elections in Iran was located near me in Tucson, Arizona at the Southern Arizona Association for Visually Impaired (SAAVI). I drove there around 9am and the receptionist confirmed that, indeed, voting would be from 3pm-7pm. I arrived back on the scene around 4pm with my camera and notepad in hand and entered the polling station. After a brief look around, I asked the man in charge, the “poll monitor,” if I could interview him about the polling process, telling him that I am a…
Heading out there now. Full report to come. UPDATE: I’m back. I acted like a freelance journalist and sat down with the poll monitor for an interview for about an hour and a half. Am working on the report of what I learned about this process, and most importantly, what goes on inside this guy’s head. CRIMINY: Had to drive halfway across the world to buy a new card reader for my digital camera. I was able to get pictures of the ballots, the ballot box, and the “poll monitors” themselves. And a lot of information. The guy really thought…
Whenever Iran has an election of some sort, its agents host polling stations all around America attempting to further legitimize itself. Last time this happened, authorities were able to bust up many of them. The SMCCDI has information on how you can help intervene. The list of cities and addresses where these polling stations will be set up has been released. If you are a blogger near one of these stations, you may want to check it out. There is a station set up a few miles from my house and I will be investigating first thing in the morning…
From Reuters: Unelected Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, among the first to vote, told Iranians they would be endorsing not just their chosen candidate, but their country’s Islamic system. “Whoever you vote for among those seven candidates, it’s a vote for him, the Islamic republic and the constitution,” he said after using a special ballot box at his official residence. That is exactly why such a drove of people are planning on avoiding the ballot box today.
Gary Metz of Regime Change Iran has the opinions of several Iranian bloggers who seem to express the sentiments of quite a bit of the electorate. Here are the ones he posted below: The Adventures of Behi — Tonight, I was talking to Mrs. Behi about the decision we shall make for the election tomorrow; voting or not voting. We have been dubious about this since the start of the election campaigns we have been always having a good will for the reformists but still are not convinced about their capability to keep their promise in getting the non-elected parts…
Al-Hayat has reported that the Moroccan government has prohibited the daughter of the head of a banned Islamist organization from travelling to Spain because of critical comments about the government (“Morocco Restricts Nadia Yassin from Travelling Due to Her Statements Against the Regime“). The article notes that Nadia Yassin, the daughter of Shaikh Abd al-Islam Yassin, the head of the Islamist organization Justice and Charity, was planning to travel to Barcelona, Spain to participate in a conference on “Democracy and Islamist Movements.” It states that a court in Rabat will hold a hearing on June 28 to rule further on…
A fantastic post by Gary Metz, and heartening news that the U.S. is really going to stand by the Iranian people just as they are about to boycott the election in massive droves. In a unique display of unity in broadcasting the same feed into Iran. These broadcasters are providing a marathon of reports into Iran. These broadcasters are calling for a boycott of the election which begins in a few hours. The united effort brings together Apadana TV, NITV, ParsTV, XTV, and KRSI radio. I am told that they will soon broadcast a statement from the son of the…
Having been out of the blogosphere for a week due to conflicting obligations, I’m back and I’ve put up a Middle East Week in Review looking at the major events. The main events centered around Lebanon’s elections, but Iraq made progress in facing down terrorists and Iran moved close to its “elections,” such as they are.
Yesterday I posted on the third round of the elections in Lebanon taking place in Bekaa and Mt. Lebanon. It was termed “the mother of all election battles” because it pitted in tightly contested races the electoral lists of the now split opposition led separately by Hariri-Jumblatt and Aoun. A lot of the success of the Hariri-Jumblatt anti-Syria coalition depended on their victory during this round, given that 58 out of 128 seats were at stake. If Aoun scored a steady political ground, it would make the aforementioned much more shaky. Well, he did, so let’s see how well I…
This is big. Keep reading, you’ll see why. Hundreds of women staged an unauthorized demonstration in Tehran today, protesting sex discrimination under Iran’s Islamic leadership just days before the June 17 presidential elections. The protest was the first public display of dissent by women since the 1979 revolution, when the new regime enforced obligatory veiling. “We are women, we are the children of this land, but we have no rights,” they chanted. More than 250 marched outside Tehran University, and about 200 others demonstrated two blocks away after hundreds of riot police swarmed in and barred them from joining the…
It looks like the Kuwaiti government has made good on its promises. When women got the vote, they promised that they would appoint women to the government. Bingo. KUWAIT (Reuters) – Kuwait named its first woman cabinet minister on Sunday, less than a month after giving women the vote, a key plank in its democratic reforms. Prime Minister Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah announced rights activist Massouma al-Mubarak’s appointment as planning minister and minister of state for administrative development affairs, the state news agency KUNA reported. “Naming a Kuwaiti woman as a minister … is a special step we had longed…
Lebanon went to the polls for the third time today (I think they like it!) in the districts of Mt. Lebanon and Bekaa. Usually I would do a really long post and analysis, given that most news stories fail at covering the event well, but An Nahar did such a good job that it will require little further elaborating. Lebanon’s mother-of-all election battles is on, pitting Gen. Aoun and allied Syrian loyalists against a ‘strategic pact’ of major opposition groupings comprising Walid Jumblat, Saad Hariri, Qornet Shahwan and Samir Geagea’s Lebanese Forces. The polls opened at 7 a.m. Beirut time…
Everything you wanted to know related to Iran, published in a single sweet post. Also, make sure to check out the schedule of pro-democracy events over the coming week.
I just finished reading through a bombshell scientific survey conducted by the Iran Institute for Democracy to gauge public opinion in the country. It’s the only one of its kind out there that is so thorough and well-done that it is truly a must-read. For the complete executive summary, click here (corrected: this summary is from 2002, the summary for the latest hasn’t been released yet). Here’s the press release with much of the relevant information. A recent public opinion survey of Iranians, conducted by The Tarrance Group, surprisingly found that a vast majority (74%) of Iranians feel America’s presence…
Music to my ears. When Syria withdraw its troops from Lebanon back in April, it was pretty obvious to the world that it left behind a thick residue of intelligence agents. The several bombs that have gone off, and the targetted assassination of an anti-Syria journalist, are part of a general pattern of political intimidation. Earlier in the week, the U.S. government reported that it had received a intelligence of a Syrian hit list made up of Lebanese opposition politicians. The assassination of anti-Syria journalist Samir Kassir has relaunched the campaign to drive Syria away. Because of the great public…
THIS IS HUGE! Iran scored a 1-0 victory against Bahrain, securing a place in the World Cup. And the crowd goes wild, taking advantage of the joyous event to shout against the regime. Iran erupted in a frenzy of raucous celebrations after the Islamic state booked its place at the 2006 World Cup soccer finals in Germany with a 1-0 home win over Gulf rivals Bahrain on Wednesday. Hundreds of thousands of people poured into the streets of the capital Tehran after the match, filling the night air with volleys of firecrackers, whistles and horns. State media reported similar scenes…
Joshua Landis, living in Damascus, has a media roundup from around the world and talks about all of the proposals. The press, for the most part, has seen this as a “great step forward” — Ba’ath words actually — in reform toward democracy in Syria. But if that sounds too good to be true, then it probably is! Perhaps it would be more appropriate to call it “the great sidestep.” Can you tell that I’m skeptical? President Assad has to worry about international pressure and internal political pressure, both of which will relate to how he proceeds with domestic reform.…
Regime Change Iran is posting this week’s week in review, the most important roundup on Iran you can read. If there was ever any doubt that the voter turnout is going be tantamount to the aftermath of this election, get this: – Townhall.com reported that the son of the late Shah said, Boycott Iran’s Sham Election. – Iran Focus reported an Iranian survey predicts: 92 percent of voters to stay away from presidential polls. – Agence Franc Presse reports that the Iranian public is being told, voting is as important as praying. Also, if you haven’t already, please consider joining…
Voting has begun in Lebanon’s southern district. Six of the South seats have already been taken by ticket members officially declared ‘winners unopposed’ in Sidon, provincial capital of the south, and in Jezzine, South Lebanon’s largest Christian city. Jezzine’s population was staying away from the polls to protest the concept of Christians being carried to parliament by overwhelming Muslim votes. Polls opened at 7 a.m. (0400 GMT) in the region that sits on Israel’s northern rim and are scheduled to close 11 hours later. About 665,000 men and women are eligible to cast ballots, but the turnout is expected by…
I normally don’t comment on the media, but this bit from the AP is egregious: But in a development that could affect efforts to get Shiites and Sunnis working together, President Jalal Talabani said Saddam, a Sunni, could be put on trial in the next two months. Hello? Excuse me? As though it’s not a ridiculous enough assumption that Saddam Hussein is representative of Iraq’s Sunnis and that his trial could cost the new government their support… bipartisan cooperation efforts are absolutely nowhere on the scale of important issues in trying and sentencing a genocidal tyrant who literally filled the…