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Ratboy Poison

Filed under: US Elections

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Remember back six weeks ago when I told you about the insane scheme of New York Times columnist Thomas "Ratboy" Friedman to impose a massive surcharge on gasoline, which would result -- he claimed -- in reduced spending so that American dollars would be kept at home? Remember how I asked: "Suppose Americans, who love their cars rather a lot, don't drive less. Suppose they simply pay the tax. In that case, exactly the same amount of money will go to all those evil regimes, and now a huge chunk of money will also go to Washington DC too. The people will be poor, and DC will be rich, and so will the oil empires."

And remember just yesterday, when I pointed out how a Times editorial was attempting to bash George Bush over rising gas prices (without for instance saying a single word about how Russia is working to destabilize the Middle East and artificially inflate prices), lamenting the horrible damage increasing prices would do to our economy? Apparently, the editorial page editors don't pay much heed to things Ratboy says, now do they.

I'll bet you're hardly surprised to learn, as the picture-worth-a-thousand-words from National Review shown above clearly demonstrates, that they're both wrong.

U.S. consumer spending has not flagged at all in the face of skyrocketing world oil prices, but rather has kept pace with it. As NR notes: "You see, when gas prices climb from $2 a gallon to $3 a gallon, one of the components of retail spending goes up. Gas stations are retail establishments. People make money working at gas stations (which now generally serve as convenience stores). People make money managing the corporations that own these stores. And, of course, people make money by owning shares in these companies."

So increased oil prices don't stop people from buying oil, nor do they wreck the economy. The only thing they do is force people to make choices about what is important to them. They force other products to become more competitive if they want to compete with oil, and that's a good thing.

Of course, it's perfectly true that we should become less dependent on foreign oil, and rising prices will encourage that by creating profit opportunities for those who can find alternatives. The miracles of capitalism take care of this without needing any government-imposed taxes to accomplish it, and without ruining the economic base.

Kind of makes you think the Times should spend more energy trying to figure out why its circulation and stock price are tanking, and less giving advice to others, now doesn't it?

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Comments


Artfldgr says:

Traditonally such changes in oil prices have led to recessions every time. It will do so again, in the past there wasnt a hit squad of companies that are so large that they can step in and purchase stock and have been propping up the market now for some time. the economic indicators have been recently changed and they no longer show the detail they did before, so people dont know what the real situation is.

when you drive a car, the steering linkage is tight. but imagine a car whose linkage was looser. in this way, steering a straight line is nigh impossible. the looser the linkage the less accurate movement is. eventually an oscillation starts that exceeds the speed of those who are riding, and it will drop precipitously.

such high prices are akin to a tax on products. i have already noticed the changes in MY economic indicators... restaurants are closing, others are trying to sell. I have noticed that rather than raise prices they have shrunk portions. they are charging a 15% gratuity because tips have dried up. graffiti is now bleeding out of the neighborhoods that its most common in. i see more broken car glass in the street between my home and the train, so more cars are being broken into. gang activities are more noticable, and more of what i call frustration crimes (what many refer to as hate crimes - i see them as frustration crimes in which someone lashes out at a thing that they think may be responsible for threatening them. when there are reports of fires more illegal apartments are in the news.

these are the signs i have always seen when things have been turning (and others too). they are my canary in a coal mine. those who live their lives balanced on a razors edge are the first to topple, and as they do they knock others.

they are working on the theory that if they prop it up, they can bridge the gap that a recession would be. is that possible? according to non keneysian thinkers, no. it only holds off the inevitable, and makes its magnitude greater. to keep drawing from the same analogy... when you build a trellis across a gap and you cant finish, you fall the distance at a high speed. when you dont, then you slide down based on the slope.

selling the trellis as filler in the slope is the problem, as one is not the same as the other and the second is actually more possible than the first.


however, go back to that linkage explanation. the trellis causes the fall harder because its existence changes the linkage. its not constructed of wood, its constructed of linkage. disconnect the system from the pull down and thats your bridge, hoping at some point to connect it again... but where, and how? when do they drop the addiction to the artificial injection of cash used to cause the disconnect?


we shall see...because if the trellis comes from discconnect, we all are in trouble... its the common failure of planned economies.

if the trellis comes from decreasing productivity during a productivity boom, then it can be a real trellis... we will se 4 percent growth and wonder how it can be so great! not knowing that wihtout this problem, it would have been 9%... without a duplicate world to test the branch, you never know where that increase actually exists...


time will tell... as it always does... its such a snitch.







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